AI Drug Discovery for Pharma and Biotech

Drug discovery

35

drugs

With orphan designations

Overview

Adult hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy, typically arising in the setting of chronic liver disease or cirrhosis, often driven by hepatitis B/C, alcohol-related liver disease, or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Diagnosis relies on imaging (CT/MRI) and biomarker evaluation (e.g., α-fetoprotein), with histological confirmation reserved for ambiguous cases. Advanced stages present with complications such as vascular invasion, extrahepatic spread, or hepatic decompensation, necessitating multidisciplinary management [1][4][9][13].

Population

  • Predominantly affects males (3:1 male-to-female ratio), with higher incidence in Asian/Pacific Islander, Hispanic, and Black populations [2][6][14].

  • Key risk groups include individuals with cirrhosis, chronic HBV/HCV infection, alcohol use disorder, or metabolic syndrome [4][13][14].

Burden

  • Accounts for >80% of primary liver cancers globally, with rising incidence linked to MASLD and obesity [4][10][14].

  • In the U.S., annual deaths exceed 30,000, with 5-year survival <20% for advanced cases [10][17].

  • Disproportionately impacts socioeconomically disadvantaged populations, with care costs amplified by late-stage diagnoses and complex therapies [6][14][18].

Therapies

  • Early-stage: Curative options include surgical resection, liver transplantation, or ablation (radiofrequency/microwave) [5][12][15].

  • Intermediate-stage: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or combined locoregional-systemic therapies (e.g., LEN-TACE sequential therapy) [7][12][15].

  • Advanced-stage: First-line systemic therapies include atezolizumab/bevacizumab or durvalumab/tremelimumab; kinase inhibitors (sorafenib, lenvatinib) remain alternatives [3][7][11][12].

Categories: rare hepatic diseases, rare neoplastic diseases, rare transplant-related disorders

Research Papers

254 drug discovery papers about Adult hepatocellular carcinoma, with 2 first-in-class and 5 next-in-class emerging drug candidates forecasted to outperform the average preclinical success rate. Recent publications:

254 drug discovery papers about Adult hepatocellular carcinoma, with 2 first-in-class and 5 next-in-class emerging drug candidates forecasted to outperform the average preclinical success rate. Recent publications:

2026-04-15 | Liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma arising in non-cirrhotic liver: a national-wide retrospective cohort study with propensity score matching analysis in China.

The majority of liver transplantation (LT) recipients for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) present with concomitant liver cirrhosis. However, there is limited research focusing on recipients without cirrhosis. This study aims to investigate the prognosis of non-cirrhotic HCC recipients, with the objective of providing a theoretical basis for improving outcomes in this patient population. This retrospective study analyze outcomes between adult HCC recipients arising in non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic liver based on the China Liver Transplant Registry (CLTR) database from January 2015 to December 2020. Based on important variables, 1:2 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed respectively. A total of 845 non-cirrhotic HCC recipients were enrolled, which were matched with cirrhotic HCC recipients (n=1,690) at a 1:2 ratio from CLTR. Compared with cirrhotic recipients, non-cirrhotic recipients presented lower overall (P=0.003), tumor free (P=0.03) and graft survival rates (P=0.007). Among recipients fulfilling Hangzhou criteria, the above survival rates of non-cirrhotic recipients were lower than those of cirrhotic recipients (P=0.001, P=0.02 and P=0.002, respectively). The HCC recurrence rate was higher in cirrhotic recipients than that in non-cirrhotic recipients (15.3% vs. 11.1%, P=0.005). In non-cirrhosis recipients, multivariate analysis revealed that beyond Hangzhou criteria [hazard ratio (HR) =2.079, P<0.001], Model for End-stage Liver Disease score ≥25 (HR =1.502, P=0.01) and early allograft dysfunction (EAD) (HR =2.139, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for overall survival, while recipient age ≥50 years (HR =1.423, P=0.02), beyond Hangzhou criteria (HR =2.188, P<0.001) and EAD (HR =1.918, P<0.001) for tumor-free survival. LT for non-cirrhotic HCC is associated with a poor prognosis. This finding suggests that non-cirrhotic HCC may exhibit more aggressive characteristics and warrants greater clinical attention.

Open article ↗



2026-03-23 | Fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma: Case report of a rare tumor and a brief review of literature

Fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma (FL-HCC) is a rare primary liver malignancy that typically arises in young adults without underlying cirrhosis or other established hepatic risk factors. We present the case of a 24-year-old male with a four-month history of progressive right upper quadrant abdominal pain, unintentional weight loss, and early satiety. Laboratory evaluation demonstrated mildly elevated liver transaminases and a markedly elevated serum vitamin B12 level of 3,240 pg/mL. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels were within normal limits. Cross-sectional imaging revealed a 12 cm hypervascular mass within the left hepatic lobe, with a central fibrotic scar and areas of calcification. Core needle biopsy followed by molecular analysis confirmed the diagnosis of fibrolamellar carcinoma through identification of the pathognomonic DNAJB1–PRKACA gene fusion. The patient underwent an extended left hepatectomy (R0 resection) and achieved a disease-free interval of 20 months. Twenty-six months after the initial diagnosis, routine surveillance imaging detected metastatic recurrence involving the lungs and L3 vertebral body. The patient was managed with a multidisciplinary approach that included pulmonary metastasectomy, platinum-based chemotherapy, and participation in a clinical trial evaluating a PRKACA inhibitor. This case underscores the importance of vigilant long-term surveillance in patients with FL-HCC and highlights the emerging role of targeted molecular therapies in addressing recurrent diseases.

Open article ↗



2026-02-23 | Impact of Age on Patient-Reported Outcomes with First-Line Camrelizumab plus Rivoceranib versus Sorafenib in Adults with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Post Hoc Analyses of the CARES-310 Open-Label, Randomized, Phase 3 Trial

Introduction: The CARES-310 randomized, open-label, international phase 3 trial reported improved overall survival and progression-free survival with camrelizumab-rivoceranib compared with sorafenib in adults with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). Methods: We performed a post hoc analysis of data from CARES-310 to evaluate patient-reported outcomes (PROs), survival, and safety in adults <65 years and ≥65 years. PRO endpoints included time to deterioration with a ≥10-point decrease from baseline of health-related quality of life (HRQoL), physical functioning, role functioning, and symptoms. Results: PRO data for these age cohorts demonstrated clinically meaningful benefits with camrelizumab-rivoceranib versus sorafenib in key aspects of the patient experience such as HRQoL, functioning, pain, and fatigue. Similarly, both age groups had a significant survival outcome advantage on camrelizumab-rivoceranib versus sorafenib. Although patients treated with camrelizumab-rivoceranib had higher rates of treatment-related adverse events versus sorafenib, this did not adversely affect HRQoL as assessed by PROs. The most common ≥20% grade ≥3 treatment-related adverse events in the camrelizumab-rivoceranib arm were hypertension and increased AST versus palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia syndrome in the sorafenib arm. Conclusion: These results support the favorable benefit-risk profile of camrelizumab-rivoceranib in patients <65 years and ≥65 years as a first-line therapy in patients with uHCC who have not received prior systemic therapy.

Open article ↗



2026-04-15 | Liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma arising in non-cirrhotic liver: a national-wide retrospective cohort study with propensity score matching analysis in China.

The majority of liver transplantation (LT) recipients for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) present with concomitant liver cirrhosis. However, there is limited research focusing on recipients without cirrhosis. This study aims to investigate the prognosis of non-cirrhotic HCC recipients, with the objective of providing a theoretical basis for improving outcomes in this patient population. This retrospective study analyze outcomes between adult HCC recipients arising in non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic liver based on the China Liver Transplant Registry (CLTR) database from January 2015 to December 2020. Based on important variables, 1:2 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed respectively. A total of 845 non-cirrhotic HCC recipients were enrolled, which were matched with cirrhotic HCC recipients (n=1,690) at a 1:2 ratio from CLTR. Compared with cirrhotic recipients, non-cirrhotic recipients presented lower overall (P=0.003), tumor free (P=0.03) and graft survival rates (P=0.007). Among recipients fulfilling Hangzhou criteria, the above survival rates of non-cirrhotic recipients were lower than those of cirrhotic recipients (P=0.001, P=0.02 and P=0.002, respectively). The HCC recurrence rate was higher in cirrhotic recipients than that in non-cirrhotic recipients (15.3% vs. 11.1%, P=0.005). In non-cirrhosis recipients, multivariate analysis revealed that beyond Hangzhou criteria [hazard ratio (HR) =2.079, P<0.001], Model for End-stage Liver Disease score ≥25 (HR =1.502, P=0.01) and early allograft dysfunction (EAD) (HR =2.139, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for overall survival, while recipient age ≥50 years (HR =1.423, P=0.02), beyond Hangzhou criteria (HR =2.188, P<0.001) and EAD (HR =1.918, P<0.001) for tumor-free survival. LT for non-cirrhotic HCC is associated with a poor prognosis. This finding suggests that non-cirrhotic HCC may exhibit more aggressive characteristics and warrants greater clinical attention.

Open article ↗



2026-03-23 | Fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma: Case report of a rare tumor and a brief review of literature

Fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma (FL-HCC) is a rare primary liver malignancy that typically arises in young adults without underlying cirrhosis or other established hepatic risk factors. We present the case of a 24-year-old male with a four-month history of progressive right upper quadrant abdominal pain, unintentional weight loss, and early satiety. Laboratory evaluation demonstrated mildly elevated liver transaminases and a markedly elevated serum vitamin B12 level of 3,240 pg/mL. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels were within normal limits. Cross-sectional imaging revealed a 12 cm hypervascular mass within the left hepatic lobe, with a central fibrotic scar and areas of calcification. Core needle biopsy followed by molecular analysis confirmed the diagnosis of fibrolamellar carcinoma through identification of the pathognomonic DNAJB1–PRKACA gene fusion. The patient underwent an extended left hepatectomy (R0 resection) and achieved a disease-free interval of 20 months. Twenty-six months after the initial diagnosis, routine surveillance imaging detected metastatic recurrence involving the lungs and L3 vertebral body. The patient was managed with a multidisciplinary approach that included pulmonary metastasectomy, platinum-based chemotherapy, and participation in a clinical trial evaluating a PRKACA inhibitor. This case underscores the importance of vigilant long-term surveillance in patients with FL-HCC and highlights the emerging role of targeted molecular therapies in addressing recurrent diseases.

Open article ↗



2026-02-23 | Impact of Age on Patient-Reported Outcomes with First-Line Camrelizumab plus Rivoceranib versus Sorafenib in Adults with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Post Hoc Analyses of the CARES-310 Open-Label, Randomized, Phase 3 Trial

Introduction: The CARES-310 randomized, open-label, international phase 3 trial reported improved overall survival and progression-free survival with camrelizumab-rivoceranib compared with sorafenib in adults with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). Methods: We performed a post hoc analysis of data from CARES-310 to evaluate patient-reported outcomes (PROs), survival, and safety in adults <65 years and ≥65 years. PRO endpoints included time to deterioration with a ≥10-point decrease from baseline of health-related quality of life (HRQoL), physical functioning, role functioning, and symptoms. Results: PRO data for these age cohorts demonstrated clinically meaningful benefits with camrelizumab-rivoceranib versus sorafenib in key aspects of the patient experience such as HRQoL, functioning, pain, and fatigue. Similarly, both age groups had a significant survival outcome advantage on camrelizumab-rivoceranib versus sorafenib. Although patients treated with camrelizumab-rivoceranib had higher rates of treatment-related adverse events versus sorafenib, this did not adversely affect HRQoL as assessed by PROs. The most common ≥20% grade ≥3 treatment-related adverse events in the camrelizumab-rivoceranib arm were hypertension and increased AST versus palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia syndrome in the sorafenib arm. Conclusion: These results support the favorable benefit-risk profile of camrelizumab-rivoceranib in patients <65 years and ≥65 years as a first-line therapy in patients with uHCC who have not received prior systemic therapy.

Open article ↗



Access all drug discovery articles and probability of success in trials forecasts:

Access all drug discovery articles and probability of success in trials forecasts:

Drug Discovery Landscape

35 orphan drug designations for Adult hepatocellular carcinoma, including 2 approved therapies.

35 orphan drug designations for Adult hepatocellular carcinoma, including 2 approved therapies.

Drug

Therapy type

Regulator

Orphan designation

Approval

Sponsor

IgG-based bispecific antibody targeting GPC3 and 4-1BB

antibodies

FDA

2026-03-23

BeOne Medicinces, USA, Inc.

anti-TM4SF5 monoclonal antibody

antibodies

FDA

2025-12-12

ReCerise Therapeutics

recombinant humanized IgG1 monoclonal antibody targeting human glypican-3 (GPC3) protein conjugated with exatecan via the MCC-AAQ linker

antibodies

FDA

2025-12-09

Lepu Biopharma Co., Ltd.

recombinant human IL12/15-PDL1B HSV-1 oncolytic virus injection

other

FDA

2025-11-19

Virogin Biotech Canada Ltd

salsalate

small molecules

FDA

2025-11-17

J & D Pharmaceuticals LLC

messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) encoding for GPC3xCD3 bispecific T-cell engagers, encapsulated in lipid nanoparticle (LNP)

RNAs

FDA

2025-11-14

Beijing Jitai Life Sciences Ltd.

Sodium 2-(3'(-3-(1-(4-(tert-butyl)benzyl)-4-ethyl-5-oxo-4,5-dihydro-1H-1,2,4-triazol-3-yl)propyl)-4-ethoxy-[1,1'-biphenyl]-3-yl)acetate

small molecules

EMA

2025-06-20

Pharma Gateway AB

peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) derived allogeneic natural killer (NK) cell

cell therapies

FDA

2025-05-15

Shenzhen Celconta Life Science Co.Ltd

anti-translationally controlled tumor protein (TCTP) monoclonal antibody

antibodies

FDA

2025-03-05

NEX-I, Inc.

GPC3-CD89 mRNA-LNP: anti-GPC3-CD89 mRNA encapsulated within lipid nanoparticles

RNAs

FDA

2025-01-31

Create Medicines

PPARalpha inhibitor

small molecules

FDA

2024-12-16

Tempest Therapeutics

bclnstabtide

other

FDA

2024-11-25

Zhuhai Fuzhu Mingsheng Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd

N-[3-(azepan-1-yl)propyl]-1-{[2-(4-chlorophenyl)-5-methyl-1,3-oxazol-4-yl]methyl}piperidine-4-carboxamide

small molecules

FDA

2024-11-25

VM Discovery, Inc.

N-(5-cyano-4-((2-methoxyethyl)amino)pyridin-2-yl)-7-formyl-6-((4-methyl-2-oxopiperazin-1-yl)methyl)-3,4-dihydro-2,4-methano-1,8-naphthyridine-1(2H)-carboxamide 2-hydroxypropane-1,2,3-tricarboxylate

small molecules

FDA

2024-11-04

BroadenBio Co., Ltd.

Tremelimumab [Imjudo]

antibodies

EMA

2020-12-09

AstraZeneca AB

Tislelizumab

antibodies

EMA

2020-04-22

Beone Medicines Ireland Limited

Mertansine functionalised gold nanoconjugate

small molecules

EMA

2018-02-22

[INACTIVE] Midatech Pharma Espana S.L.

Florilglutamic acid (18F)

small molecules

EMA

2016-03-21

[INACTIVE] Lantheus Germany GmbH

fisogatinib

small molecules

FDA

2015-09-14

Blueprint Medicines Corporation

nivolumab [OPDIVO]

antibodies

FDA

2015-09-02

2017-09-22

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

nivolumab [Opdivo]

antibodies

FDA

2015-09-02

2025-04-11

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

Lenvatinib mesilate [Lenvima]

small molecules

EMA

2015-03-19

Eisai GmbH

Tivantinib [Enriav]

small molecules

EMA

2013-11-13

Neuway Pharma GmbH

Galunisertib monohydrate [TGF-beta R1 Kinase Inhibitor (LY2157299)]

small molecules

EMA

2013-03-12

Eli Lilly Nederland B.V.

Ramucirumab

antibodies

EMA

2012-07-04

Eli Lilly Nederland B.V.

Brivanib alaninate

small molecules

EMA

2011-10-27

[INACTIVE] Bristol-Myers Squibb Pharma EEIG

human tumor necrosis factor coupled to the C terminus of CNGRCG peptide

proteins

FDA

2009-10-01

Molecular Medicine S.p.A. (Molmed)

Linifanib [Linifanib]

small molecules

EMA

2007-12-20

Abbvie Limited

Amsilarotene

small molecules

EMA

2007-10-22

[INACTIVE] Gendux Molecular Limited

Sulfonated monophosphorylated mannose oligosaccharide

small molecules

EMA

2007-09-14

[INACTIVE] SRA Global Clinical Development Limited

Sorafenib tosilate [Nexavar]

small molecules

EMA

2006-04-11

Bayer AG

Doxorubicin hydrochloride [Doxorubicin Transdrug]

small molecules

EMA

2004-10-21

Onxeo

Nolatrexed dihydrochloride [Thymitaq]

small molecules

EMA

2003-10-02

[INACTIVE] Harrison Clinical Research Limited

CHARCOAL, ACTIVATED, Doxorubicin hydrochloride, Iron [MTC-DOX for Injection]

small molecules

EMA

2002-09-11

[INACTIVE] Interface International Consultancy Limited

Seocalcitol

small molecules

EMA

2001-07-31

LEO PHARMA A/S

Explority AI logo

228 Park Ave S,
New York, USA.

At Explority, we build first-of-its-kind AI to bring clarity to the earliest and riskiest stages of pharmaceutical research by forecasting which therapies are most likely to succeed. Explority AI web and mobile applications are properties of the Explority AI Inc., a company registered in the United States (File No. 10320493).
For all questions: support@explority.ai

Copyright © 2026 Explority AI Inc.

Explority AI logo

228 Park Ave S,
New York, USA.

At Explority, we build first-of-its-kind AI to bring clarity to the earliest and riskiest stages of pharmaceutical research by forecasting which therapies are most likely to succeed. Explority AI web and mobile applications are properties of the Explority AI Inc., a company registered in the United States (File No. 10320493).
For all questions: support@explority.ai

Copyright © 2026 Explority AI Inc.

Explority AI logo

228 Park Ave S,
New York, USA.

At Explority, we build first-of-its-kind AI to bring clarity to the earliest and riskiest stages of pharmaceutical research by forecasting which therapies are most likely to succeed. Explority AI web and mobile applications are properties of the Explority AI Inc., a company registered in the United States (File No. 10320493).
For all questions: support@explority.ai

Copyright © 2026 Explority AI Inc.