AI Drug Discovery for Pharma and Biotech

Drug discovery

35

drugs

With orphan designations

Overview

Adult hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy, typically arising in the setting of chronic liver disease or cirrhosis, often driven by hepatitis B/C, alcohol-related liver disease, or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Diagnosis relies on imaging (CT/MRI) and biomarker evaluation (e.g., α-fetoprotein), with histological confirmation reserved for ambiguous cases. Advanced stages present with complications such as vascular invasion, extrahepatic spread, or hepatic decompensation, necessitating multidisciplinary management [1][4][9][13].

Population

  • Predominantly affects males (3:1 male-to-female ratio), with higher incidence in Asian/Pacific Islander, Hispanic, and Black populations [2][6][14].

  • Key risk groups include individuals with cirrhosis, chronic HBV/HCV infection, alcohol use disorder, or metabolic syndrome [4][13][14].

Burden

  • Accounts for >80% of primary liver cancers globally, with rising incidence linked to MASLD and obesity [4][10][14].

  • In the U.S., annual deaths exceed 30,000, with 5-year survival <20% for advanced cases [10][17].

  • Disproportionately impacts socioeconomically disadvantaged populations, with care costs amplified by late-stage diagnoses and complex therapies [6][14][18].

Therapies

  • Early-stage: Curative options include surgical resection, liver transplantation, or ablation (radiofrequency/microwave) [5][12][15].

  • Intermediate-stage: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or combined locoregional-systemic therapies (e.g., LEN-TACE sequential therapy) [7][12][15].

  • Advanced-stage: First-line systemic therapies include atezolizumab/bevacizumab or durvalumab/tremelimumab; kinase inhibitors (sorafenib, lenvatinib) remain alternatives [3][7][11][12].

Categories: rare hepatic diseases, rare neoplastic diseases, rare transplant-related disorders

Research Papers

260 drug discovery papers about Adult hepatocellular carcinoma, with 2 first-in-class and 4 next-in-class emerging drug candidates forecasted to outperform the average preclinical success rate. Recent publications:

260 drug discovery papers about Adult hepatocellular carcinoma, with 2 first-in-class and 4 next-in-class emerging drug candidates forecasted to outperform the average preclinical success rate. Recent publications:

2026-07-03 | Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with type 2 diabetes: a target trial emulation study

BACKGROUND: Recurrence after curative-intent resection remains common in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and whether postoperative incretin-based treatment choice influences outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether postoperative initiation of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), compared with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4is), is associated with improved recurrence-free and overall survival after curative-intent resection for HCC. DESIGN: Active-comparator, new-user target trial emulation using electronic medical records from 36 hospitals across China from 2014 to 2023, with follow-up through 1 October 2025. Eligible adults had histologically confirmed HCC and T2D, underwent R0 resection and initiated a GLP-1RA or DPP-4i within postoperative days 0 to 90. Time zero was the first qualifying prescription or order date. The primary estimand was intention-to-treat; a prespecified per-protocol analysis assessed sustained adherence. The primary outcome was recurrence-free survival (RFS), treating death without recurrence as a competing event; overall survival (OS) was secondary. The study was registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2600118495). RESULTS: Among 42 855 patients with HCC and T2D who underwent liver resection, 1249 were included in the final analytical cohort, including 723 DPP-4i initiators and 526 GLP-1RA initiators; median follow-up was 50.8 months. In weighted intention-to-treat analyses, GLP-1RA versus DPP-4i initiation was associated with longer RFS (cause-specific HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.96; p=0.016) and OS (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.47 to 0.71; p<0.001). Per-protocol analyses were directionally consistent. CONCLUSION: Postoperative GLP-1RA initiation, compared with DPP-4i initiation, was associated with delayed recurrence and longer OS; prospective confirmation is warranted. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ChiCTR2600118495.

Open article ↗



2026-05-27 | CheckMate-9DW 4-year follow-up: Overall survival by depth of response and outcomes in long-term survivors.

4104 Background: Nivolumab plus ipilimumab (NIVO + IPI) was globally approved as a first-line (1L) treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on the phase 3 CheckMate 9DW trial (NCT04039607). We report 4-year follow-up results and overall survival (OS) by depth of response (DpR). Methods: Methods were reported previously (Yau T. Lancet 2025). Briefly, adults with previously untreated unresectable HCC were randomized 1:1 to receive NIVO + IPI (then NIVO for ≤ 2 years) or lenvatinib/sorafenib (LEN/SOR). OS analyses were done by best percentage change in tumor burden from baseline. We also present exploratory analyses on long-term survivors (survival ≥ 4 years after randomization). Results: A total of 668 patients (pts) were randomized to NIVO + IPI (n = 335) or LEN/SOR (n = 333); among 325 pts treated with LEN/SOR, 275 (85%) received LEN. At a median (range) follow-up of 52.5 (44.0–66.1) mo, NIVO + IPI continued to show OS benefit (95% CI) vs LEN/SOR (HR 0.78 [0.65–0.93]) with higher objective response rate (ORR; 95% CI) by blinded independent central review (BICR; 36% [31–42] vs 13% [10–17]) and more durable responses. Pts with deeper tumor reduction had numerically improved median OS on both NIVO + IPI and LEN/SOR; the trend was more pronounced with NIVO + IPI specifically in pts with tumor shrinkage ≥ 30% (Table). More pts treated with NIVO + IPI (n = 62) were long-term survivors vs pts treated with LEN/SOR (n = 33). In long-term survivors, ORR by BICR was higher with NIVO + IPI vs LEN/SOR (76% vs 24%), with higher rates of complete response (CR; 21% vs 6%; Table); median duration of response was not reached in either group. Among long-term survivors, median (range) treatment-free interval was 23.3 (0.1–56.6) mo with NIVO + IPI and 0.5 (0.1–54.0) mo with LEN/SOR; 26 of 62 (42%) and 2 of 33 (6%) patients, respectively, were off study treatment and remained free from subsequent treatment. Baseline characteristics and incidence of TRAEs in long-term survivors were consistent with all randomized pts. Conclusions: 1L NIVO + IPI continued to show sustained efficacy benefit vs LEN/SOR in unresectable HCC with no new safety concerns at the 4-year follow-up. These analyses suggest deeper responses with NIVO + IPI may be associated with improved survival outcomes. Long-term survivors treated with NIVO + IPI had higher ORR and CR rates vs LEN/SOR, and were more likely to remain free of subsequent treatment. These results reinforce NIVO + IPI as a 1L treatment for unresectable HCC. Clinical trial information: NCT04039607 . DpR, a % NIVO + IPI(n = 290) b LEN/SOR(n = 286) b Median OS (95% CI), mo Median OS (95% CI), mo −100 to ≤−60 NR (NE) NR (28.3–NE) −60 to ≤−30 31.1 (19.9–40.4) 20.9 (15.1–30.9) −30 to 20 17.0 (14.8–22.0) 20.5 (17.1–22.9) ≥20 14.3 (6.0–17.5) 7.8 (4.8–19.3) Best overall response in long-term survivors a NIVO + IPI (n = 62) LEN/SOR (n = 33) ORR (95% CI), % 76 (63–86) 24 (11–42) CR, % 21 6 a By BICR. b Response evaluable pts. NE, not estimable; NR, not reached.

Open article ↗



2026-05-21 | Association Between SGLT2 Inhibitor Use and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and Aims: Type 2 diabetes mellitus is a recognized risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), particularly in the setting of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), chronic viral hepatitis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Beyond hyperglycemia and insulin resistance, diabetic hepatocarcinogenesis is shaped by metabolic inflammation, lipotoxicity, oxidative stress, fibrogenic remodeling, and the cirrhosis-dysplasia-HCC continuum. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) may influence several hepatometabolic pathways, but the epidemiologic evidence linking SGLT2i use to HCC risk remains heterogeneous. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies evaluating SGLT2i exposure and incident HCC in adults with type 2 diabetes. PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched up to 15 March 2026. Adjusted time-to-event estimates were pooled using a restricted maximum likelihood (REML) random-effects model. The certainty of evidence was assessed using the GRADE framework and judged to be very low. Results: Six observational studies including 526,446 participants were included. SGLT2i exposure was associated with a lower observed risk of incident HCC (pooled HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.45–0.77), but between-study heterogeneity was substantial (I2 = 75.2%, τ2 = 0.074). The association remained directionally similar after exclusion of Huynh et al. (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.45–0.81) and in a DPP-4 inhibitor-restricted active-comparator analysis (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.39–0.92). However, the 95% prediction interval crossed the null (0.25–1.37), indicating that future comparable studies may plausibly show no protective association. Conclusions: SGLT2i exposure was associated with a lower observed risk of incident HCC across available observational studies. However, the certainty of evidence was judged to be very low, and substantial heterogeneity, comparator variation, mixed time-to-event estimands, residual confounding, and a prediction interval crossing the null preclude causal interpretation. These findings should be considered hypothesis-generating rather than practice-changing evidence and support further hepatology-oriented validation.

Open article ↗



2026-05-01 | Metastatic Fibrolamellar Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a Young Adult: A Case Report and Narrative Review

Abstract: Fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma (FLC) is a rare and distinct histologic subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma that typically arises in non-cirrhotic livers of adolescents and young adults without underlying viral hepatitis or chronic liver disease. Accounting for less than 1% of all primary liver cancers, FLC is characterized by unique clinical, radiologic, and molecular features, most notably the highly characteristic DNAJB1–PRKACA fusion. Due to its rarity and frequently nonspecific presentation, diagnosis is often delayed or misinterpreted as by benign hepatic lesions such as focal nodular hyperplasia or adenoma. This report presents a rare case of metastatic FLC in a young adult who initially presented with right upper quadrant pain, anemia, and preserved hepatic function. Imaging revealed a large hepatic mass with a central non-enhancing area suggestive of necrosis, and histopathologic evaluation aided in the diagnosis based on characteristic lamellar fibrosis, polygonal eosinophilic cells, and positive CK7 and HepPar-1 staining. Confirmatory molecular testing through DNAJB1–PRKACA fusion was not performed. Planned treatment with a combination regimen of nivolumab and neratinib was scheduled; however, the patient deteriorated rapidly, and systemic therapy could not be initiated before death. Through this case and accompanying review, we aim to highlight the diagnostic complexity, molecular underpinnings, and current therapeutic approaches of FLC. This case was notable for advanced peritoneal carcinomatosis at presentation, severe thrombocytosis, and the diagnostic and therapeutic challenges posed by metastatic fibrolamellar carcinoma without molecular confirmation. Taken together, this underscores the importance of early recognition, molecular testing, and coordinated clinical management in optimizing outcomes for this uncommon malignancy. Keywords: fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma, liver cancer, case report, pathogenesis, diagnosis, treatment, immunotherapy

Open article ↗



2026-04-15 | Liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma arising in non-cirrhotic liver: a national-wide retrospective cohort study with propensity score matching analysis in China.

The majority of liver transplantation (LT) recipients for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) present with concomitant liver cirrhosis. However, there is limited research focusing on recipients without cirrhosis. This study aims to investigate the prognosis of non-cirrhotic HCC recipients, with the objective of providing a theoretical basis for improving outcomes in this patient population. This retrospective study analyze outcomes between adult HCC recipients arising in non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic liver based on the China Liver Transplant Registry (CLTR) database from January 2015 to December 2020. Based on important variables, 1:2 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed respectively. A total of 845 non-cirrhotic HCC recipients were enrolled, which were matched with cirrhotic HCC recipients (n=1,690) at a 1:2 ratio from CLTR. Compared with cirrhotic recipients, non-cirrhotic recipients presented lower overall (P=0.003), tumor free (P=0.03) and graft survival rates (P=0.007). Among recipients fulfilling Hangzhou criteria, the above survival rates of non-cirrhotic recipients were lower than those of cirrhotic recipients (P=0.001, P=0.02 and P=0.002, respectively). The HCC recurrence rate was higher in cirrhotic recipients than that in non-cirrhotic recipients (15.3% vs. 11.1%, P=0.005). In non-cirrhosis recipients, multivariate analysis revealed that beyond Hangzhou criteria [hazard ratio (HR) =2.079, P<0.001], Model for End-stage Liver Disease score ≥25 (HR =1.502, P=0.01) and early allograft dysfunction (EAD) (HR =2.139, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for overall survival, while recipient age ≥50 years (HR =1.423, P=0.02), beyond Hangzhou criteria (HR =2.188, P<0.001) and EAD (HR =1.918, P<0.001) for tumor-free survival. LT for non-cirrhotic HCC is associated with a poor prognosis. This finding suggests that non-cirrhotic HCC may exhibit more aggressive characteristics and warrants greater clinical attention.

Open article ↗



2026-07-03 | Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with type 2 diabetes: a target trial emulation study

BACKGROUND: Recurrence after curative-intent resection remains common in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and whether postoperative incretin-based treatment choice influences outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether postoperative initiation of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), compared with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4is), is associated with improved recurrence-free and overall survival after curative-intent resection for HCC. DESIGN: Active-comparator, new-user target trial emulation using electronic medical records from 36 hospitals across China from 2014 to 2023, with follow-up through 1 October 2025. Eligible adults had histologically confirmed HCC and T2D, underwent R0 resection and initiated a GLP-1RA or DPP-4i within postoperative days 0 to 90. Time zero was the first qualifying prescription or order date. The primary estimand was intention-to-treat; a prespecified per-protocol analysis assessed sustained adherence. The primary outcome was recurrence-free survival (RFS), treating death without recurrence as a competing event; overall survival (OS) was secondary. The study was registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2600118495). RESULTS: Among 42 855 patients with HCC and T2D who underwent liver resection, 1249 were included in the final analytical cohort, including 723 DPP-4i initiators and 526 GLP-1RA initiators; median follow-up was 50.8 months. In weighted intention-to-treat analyses, GLP-1RA versus DPP-4i initiation was associated with longer RFS (cause-specific HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.96; p=0.016) and OS (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.47 to 0.71; p<0.001). Per-protocol analyses were directionally consistent. CONCLUSION: Postoperative GLP-1RA initiation, compared with DPP-4i initiation, was associated with delayed recurrence and longer OS; prospective confirmation is warranted. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ChiCTR2600118495.

Open article ↗



2026-05-27 | CheckMate-9DW 4-year follow-up: Overall survival by depth of response and outcomes in long-term survivors.

4104 Background: Nivolumab plus ipilimumab (NIVO + IPI) was globally approved as a first-line (1L) treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on the phase 3 CheckMate 9DW trial (NCT04039607). We report 4-year follow-up results and overall survival (OS) by depth of response (DpR). Methods: Methods were reported previously (Yau T. Lancet 2025). Briefly, adults with previously untreated unresectable HCC were randomized 1:1 to receive NIVO + IPI (then NIVO for ≤ 2 years) or lenvatinib/sorafenib (LEN/SOR). OS analyses were done by best percentage change in tumor burden from baseline. We also present exploratory analyses on long-term survivors (survival ≥ 4 years after randomization). Results: A total of 668 patients (pts) were randomized to NIVO + IPI (n = 335) or LEN/SOR (n = 333); among 325 pts treated with LEN/SOR, 275 (85%) received LEN. At a median (range) follow-up of 52.5 (44.0–66.1) mo, NIVO + IPI continued to show OS benefit (95% CI) vs LEN/SOR (HR 0.78 [0.65–0.93]) with higher objective response rate (ORR; 95% CI) by blinded independent central review (BICR; 36% [31–42] vs 13% [10–17]) and more durable responses. Pts with deeper tumor reduction had numerically improved median OS on both NIVO + IPI and LEN/SOR; the trend was more pronounced with NIVO + IPI specifically in pts with tumor shrinkage ≥ 30% (Table). More pts treated with NIVO + IPI (n = 62) were long-term survivors vs pts treated with LEN/SOR (n = 33). In long-term survivors, ORR by BICR was higher with NIVO + IPI vs LEN/SOR (76% vs 24%), with higher rates of complete response (CR; 21% vs 6%; Table); median duration of response was not reached in either group. Among long-term survivors, median (range) treatment-free interval was 23.3 (0.1–56.6) mo with NIVO + IPI and 0.5 (0.1–54.0) mo with LEN/SOR; 26 of 62 (42%) and 2 of 33 (6%) patients, respectively, were off study treatment and remained free from subsequent treatment. Baseline characteristics and incidence of TRAEs in long-term survivors were consistent with all randomized pts. Conclusions: 1L NIVO + IPI continued to show sustained efficacy benefit vs LEN/SOR in unresectable HCC with no new safety concerns at the 4-year follow-up. These analyses suggest deeper responses with NIVO + IPI may be associated with improved survival outcomes. Long-term survivors treated with NIVO + IPI had higher ORR and CR rates vs LEN/SOR, and were more likely to remain free of subsequent treatment. These results reinforce NIVO + IPI as a 1L treatment for unresectable HCC. Clinical trial information: NCT04039607 . DpR, a % NIVO + IPI(n = 290) b LEN/SOR(n = 286) b Median OS (95% CI), mo Median OS (95% CI), mo −100 to ≤−60 NR (NE) NR (28.3–NE) −60 to ≤−30 31.1 (19.9–40.4) 20.9 (15.1–30.9) −30 to 20 17.0 (14.8–22.0) 20.5 (17.1–22.9) ≥20 14.3 (6.0–17.5) 7.8 (4.8–19.3) Best overall response in long-term survivors a NIVO + IPI (n = 62) LEN/SOR (n = 33) ORR (95% CI), % 76 (63–86) 24 (11–42) CR, % 21 6 a By BICR. b Response evaluable pts. NE, not estimable; NR, not reached.

Open article ↗



2026-05-21 | Association Between SGLT2 Inhibitor Use and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Type 2 Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and Aims: Type 2 diabetes mellitus is a recognized risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), particularly in the setting of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), chronic viral hepatitis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Beyond hyperglycemia and insulin resistance, diabetic hepatocarcinogenesis is shaped by metabolic inflammation, lipotoxicity, oxidative stress, fibrogenic remodeling, and the cirrhosis-dysplasia-HCC continuum. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) may influence several hepatometabolic pathways, but the epidemiologic evidence linking SGLT2i use to HCC risk remains heterogeneous. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies evaluating SGLT2i exposure and incident HCC in adults with type 2 diabetes. PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched up to 15 March 2026. Adjusted time-to-event estimates were pooled using a restricted maximum likelihood (REML) random-effects model. The certainty of evidence was assessed using the GRADE framework and judged to be very low. Results: Six observational studies including 526,446 participants were included. SGLT2i exposure was associated with a lower observed risk of incident HCC (pooled HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.45–0.77), but between-study heterogeneity was substantial (I2 = 75.2%, τ2 = 0.074). The association remained directionally similar after exclusion of Huynh et al. (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.45–0.81) and in a DPP-4 inhibitor-restricted active-comparator analysis (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.39–0.92). However, the 95% prediction interval crossed the null (0.25–1.37), indicating that future comparable studies may plausibly show no protective association. Conclusions: SGLT2i exposure was associated with a lower observed risk of incident HCC across available observational studies. However, the certainty of evidence was judged to be very low, and substantial heterogeneity, comparator variation, mixed time-to-event estimands, residual confounding, and a prediction interval crossing the null preclude causal interpretation. These findings should be considered hypothesis-generating rather than practice-changing evidence and support further hepatology-oriented validation.

Open article ↗



2026-05-01 | Metastatic Fibrolamellar Hepatocellular Carcinoma in a Young Adult: A Case Report and Narrative Review

Abstract: Fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma (FLC) is a rare and distinct histologic subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma that typically arises in non-cirrhotic livers of adolescents and young adults without underlying viral hepatitis or chronic liver disease. Accounting for less than 1% of all primary liver cancers, FLC is characterized by unique clinical, radiologic, and molecular features, most notably the highly characteristic DNAJB1–PRKACA fusion. Due to its rarity and frequently nonspecific presentation, diagnosis is often delayed or misinterpreted as by benign hepatic lesions such as focal nodular hyperplasia or adenoma. This report presents a rare case of metastatic FLC in a young adult who initially presented with right upper quadrant pain, anemia, and preserved hepatic function. Imaging revealed a large hepatic mass with a central non-enhancing area suggestive of necrosis, and histopathologic evaluation aided in the diagnosis based on characteristic lamellar fibrosis, polygonal eosinophilic cells, and positive CK7 and HepPar-1 staining. Confirmatory molecular testing through DNAJB1–PRKACA fusion was not performed. Planned treatment with a combination regimen of nivolumab and neratinib was scheduled; however, the patient deteriorated rapidly, and systemic therapy could not be initiated before death. Through this case and accompanying review, we aim to highlight the diagnostic complexity, molecular underpinnings, and current therapeutic approaches of FLC. This case was notable for advanced peritoneal carcinomatosis at presentation, severe thrombocytosis, and the diagnostic and therapeutic challenges posed by metastatic fibrolamellar carcinoma without molecular confirmation. Taken together, this underscores the importance of early recognition, molecular testing, and coordinated clinical management in optimizing outcomes for this uncommon malignancy. Keywords: fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma, liver cancer, case report, pathogenesis, diagnosis, treatment, immunotherapy

Open article ↗



2026-04-15 | Liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma arising in non-cirrhotic liver: a national-wide retrospective cohort study with propensity score matching analysis in China.

The majority of liver transplantation (LT) recipients for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) present with concomitant liver cirrhosis. However, there is limited research focusing on recipients without cirrhosis. This study aims to investigate the prognosis of non-cirrhotic HCC recipients, with the objective of providing a theoretical basis for improving outcomes in this patient population. This retrospective study analyze outcomes between adult HCC recipients arising in non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic liver based on the China Liver Transplant Registry (CLTR) database from January 2015 to December 2020. Based on important variables, 1:2 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed respectively. A total of 845 non-cirrhotic HCC recipients were enrolled, which were matched with cirrhotic HCC recipients (n=1,690) at a 1:2 ratio from CLTR. Compared with cirrhotic recipients, non-cirrhotic recipients presented lower overall (P=0.003), tumor free (P=0.03) and graft survival rates (P=0.007). Among recipients fulfilling Hangzhou criteria, the above survival rates of non-cirrhotic recipients were lower than those of cirrhotic recipients (P=0.001, P=0.02 and P=0.002, respectively). The HCC recurrence rate was higher in cirrhotic recipients than that in non-cirrhotic recipients (15.3% vs. 11.1%, P=0.005). In non-cirrhosis recipients, multivariate analysis revealed that beyond Hangzhou criteria [hazard ratio (HR) =2.079, P<0.001], Model for End-stage Liver Disease score ≥25 (HR =1.502, P=0.01) and early allograft dysfunction (EAD) (HR =2.139, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for overall survival, while recipient age ≥50 years (HR =1.423, P=0.02), beyond Hangzhou criteria (HR =2.188, P<0.001) and EAD (HR =1.918, P<0.001) for tumor-free survival. LT for non-cirrhotic HCC is associated with a poor prognosis. This finding suggests that non-cirrhotic HCC may exhibit more aggressive characteristics and warrants greater clinical attention.

Open article ↗



Access all drug discovery papers and probability of success in trials forecasts:

Access all drug discovery papers and probability of success in trials forecasts:

Drug Discovery Landscape

35 orphan drug designations for Adult hepatocellular carcinoma, including 2 approved therapies.

35 orphan drug designations for Adult hepatocellular carcinoma, including 2 approved therapies.

Drug

Therapy type

Regulator

Orphan designation

Approval

Sponsor

IgG-based bispecific antibody targeting GPC3 and 4-1BB

antibodies

FDA

2026-03-23

BeOne Medicinces, USA, Inc.

anti-TM4SF5 monoclonal antibody

antibodies

FDA

2025-12-12

ReCerise Therapeutics

recombinant humanized IgG1 monoclonal antibody targeting human glypican-3 (GPC3) protein conjugated with exatecan via the MCC-AAQ linker

antibodies

FDA

2025-12-09

Lepu Biopharma Co., Ltd.

recombinant human IL12/15-PDL1B HSV-1 oncolytic virus injection

other

FDA

2025-11-19

Virogin Biotech Canada Ltd

salsalate

small molecules

FDA

2025-11-17

J & D Pharmaceuticals LLC

messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) encoding for GPC3xCD3 bispecific T-cell engagers, encapsulated in lipid nanoparticle (LNP)

RNAs

FDA

2025-11-14

Beijing Jitai Life Sciences Ltd.

Sodium 2-(3'(-3-(1-(4-(tert-butyl)benzyl)-4-ethyl-5-oxo-4,5-dihydro-1H-1,2,4-triazol-3-yl)propyl)-4-ethoxy-[1,1'-biphenyl]-3-yl)acetate

small molecules

EMA

2025-06-20

Pharma Gateway AB

peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) derived allogeneic natural killer (NK) cell

cell therapies

FDA

2025-05-15

Shenzhen Celconta Life Science Co.Ltd

anti-translationally controlled tumor protein (TCTP) monoclonal antibody

antibodies

FDA

2025-03-05

NEX-I, Inc.

GPC3-CD89 mRNA-LNP: anti-GPC3-CD89 mRNA encapsulated within lipid nanoparticles

RNAs

FDA

2025-01-31

Create Medicines

PPARalpha inhibitor

small molecules

FDA

2024-12-16

Tempest Therapeutics

N-[3-(azepan-1-yl)propyl]-1-{[2-(4-chlorophenyl)-5-methyl-1,3-oxazol-4-yl]methyl}piperidine-4-carboxamide

small molecules

FDA

2024-11-25

VM Discovery, Inc.

bclnstabtide

other

FDA

2024-11-25

Zhuhai Fuzhu Mingsheng Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd

N-(5-cyano-4-((2-methoxyethyl)amino)pyridin-2-yl)-7-formyl-6-((4-methyl-2-oxopiperazin-1-yl)methyl)-3,4-dihydro-2,4-methano-1,8-naphthyridine-1(2H)-carboxamide 2-hydroxypropane-1,2,3-tricarboxylate

small molecules

FDA

2024-11-04

BroadenBio Co., Ltd.

Tremelimumab [Imjudo]

antibodies

EMA

2020-12-09

AstraZeneca AB

Tislelizumab

antibodies

EMA

2020-04-22

Beone Medicines Ireland Limited

Mertansine functionalised gold nanoconjugate

small molecules

EMA

2018-02-22

[INACTIVE] Midatech Pharma Espana S.L.

Florilglutamic acid (18F)

small molecules

EMA

2016-03-21

[INACTIVE] Lantheus Germany GmbH

fisogatinib

small molecules

FDA

2015-09-14

Blueprint Medicines Corporation

nivolumab [OPDIVO]

antibodies

FDA

2015-09-02

2017-09-22

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

nivolumab [Opdivo]

antibodies

FDA

2015-09-02

2025-04-11

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company

Lenvatinib mesilate [Lenvima]

small molecules

EMA

2015-03-19

Eisai GmbH

Tivantinib [Enriav]

small molecules

EMA

2013-11-13

Neuway Pharma GmbH

Galunisertib monohydrate [TGF-beta R1 Kinase Inhibitor (LY2157299)]

small molecules

EMA

2013-03-12

Eli Lilly Nederland B.V.

Ramucirumab

antibodies

EMA

2012-07-04

Eli Lilly Nederland B.V.

Brivanib alaninate

small molecules

EMA

2011-10-27

[INACTIVE] Bristol-Myers Squibb Pharma EEIG

human tumor necrosis factor coupled to the C terminus of CNGRCG peptide

proteins

FDA

2009-10-01

Molecular Medicine S.p.A. (Molmed)

Linifanib [Linifanib]

small molecules

EMA

2007-12-20

Abbvie Limited

Amsilarotene

small molecules

EMA

2007-10-22

[INACTIVE] Gendux Molecular Limited

Sulfonated monophosphorylated mannose oligosaccharide

small molecules

EMA

2007-09-14

[INACTIVE] SRA Global Clinical Development Limited

Sorafenib tosilate [Nexavar]

small molecules

EMA

2006-04-11

Bayer AG

Doxorubicin hydrochloride [Doxorubicin Transdrug]

small molecules

EMA

2004-10-21

Onxeo

Nolatrexed dihydrochloride [Thymitaq]

small molecules

EMA

2003-10-02

[INACTIVE] Harrison Clinical Research Limited

CHARCOAL, ACTIVATED, Doxorubicin hydrochloride, Iron [MTC-DOX for Injection]

small molecules

EMA

2002-09-11

[INACTIVE] Interface International Consultancy Limited

Seocalcitol

small molecules

EMA

2001-07-31

LEO PHARMA A/S

Explority AI logo

228 Park Ave S,
New York, USA.

At Explority, we build first-of-its-kind AI to bring clarity to the earliest and riskiest stages of pharmaceutical research by forecasting which therapies are most likely to succeed. Explority AI web and mobile applications are properties of the Explority AI Inc., a company registered in the United States (File No. 10320493).
For all questions: support@explority.ai

Copyright © 2026 Explority AI Inc.

Explority AI logo

228 Park Ave S,
New York, USA.

At Explority, we build first-of-its-kind AI to bring clarity to the earliest and riskiest stages of pharmaceutical research by forecasting which therapies are most likely to succeed. Explority AI web and mobile applications are properties of the Explority AI Inc., a company registered in the United States (File No. 10320493).
For all questions: support@explority.ai

Copyright © 2026 Explority AI Inc.

Explority AI logo

228 Park Ave S,
New York, USA.

At Explority, we build first-of-its-kind AI to bring clarity to the earliest and riskiest stages of pharmaceutical research by forecasting which therapies are most likely to succeed. Explority AI web and mobile applications are properties of the Explority AI Inc., a company registered in the United States (File No. 10320493).
For all questions: support@explority.ai

Copyright © 2026 Explority AI Inc.